米連邦政府の閉鎖が秒読み…労働省「雇用報告などの発表を中断する」
US federal government shutdown imminent... Department of Labor to suspend release of employment report and other announcements
The US Department of Labor has announced that it will halt the release of key economic indicators, including consumer prices and employment figures, if a federal government shutdown occurs.
In its emergency plan released on the 26th local time, the Department of Labor said, "In the event of a shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will cease all operations and all scheduled economic data will be released."
"All data collection activities for the BLS survey have also been suspended, and the website will not be updated," it added.
This means that the non-farm payrolls report scheduled for October 3rd, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) scheduled for October 15th, and the weekly Thursday report will be canceled.
There is a growing possibility that the number of new unemployment claims, which is a measure of the economy's economic growth, will not be released as scheduled. These figures are being considered ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting scheduled for the end of October.
This is the last price and employment-related indicator to be used as a reference, so it is expected to have a negative impact. Following this announcement, the possibility of a shutdown was widely reflected in the prediction market.
On trading platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, bets on the possibility of a government shutdown grew, dropping from 50% to 70% over the weekend.
The Democratic Party is taking the position that the budget bill should include an extension of the Obamacare (ACA) insurance subsidies, but Republican leaders are saying, "After averting the threat of a shutdown,
President Donald Trump canceled a meeting with Democratic leaders last week and is scheduled to meet with key House and Senate leaders this week.
The Trump administration has also reportedly instructed federal agencies to prepare for large-scale layoffs in the event of a shutdown.
While employees were previously placed on temporary unpaid leave, this move could lead to permanent dismissal, so controversy is expected.
2025/09/30 12:57 KST
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